The actual fight is between UPA and the left and in this fight BJP should have sided with congress for several reasons and biggest and most noticable of which was nuclear deal. However, there is a hidden agenda also which BJP strategists should have accounted for and moved closer to congress to get a secular tag as well as a party with responsibility so that it could be trusted for future big roles in Indian politics.
Coming back to Democratic circle vs Communist arc, Communists had a pipe dream (a very distant dream indeed) to bring India into the fold of Russia and China to form a communist arc to fight against what they perceive as Western Hegemony. If you track the statements of communists from last 4 years, they made no secret of their pro china statements, pro iran statements and split venom against united states. Even though China and Russia don’t treat their Indian counterparts as trustworthy in their games, communists are trying hard to prove to them that they are very much aligned with their ideology and could some day form a stronger communist arc.
The nuclear deal on the other hand from United States was indeed a step in the forward direction to encircle china with democratic countries such as Australia, Japan, India etc.
Left was all set to break this democratic circling of China and started a long campaign by spreading misinformation about the deal and also made pro iran statements.
UPA set out to defeat the Left’s borrowed idealogy and their pipe dream by alligning with United States. China too is in a bind to support the deal, otherwise we will be clearly in the Democratic circle camp poking at china.
BJP not sensing this cold war got quickly sucked into this storm and got blown away from firmer ground to that of weaker ground and may even be bown to oblivion with the emergence of mayawathi camp.
BJP lost a golden oppurtunity to increase their voter base by alligning with Congress on this nuclear deal. BJP’s blind belief was that UPA will loose the trust vote and there will be mid term elections and they also made a stupid assumption that they will win the mid term elections because of their recent electoral wins.
BJPs calculations are so very wrong and they may even end up winning MP seats in single digits only this time. BJP lost the votes of skilled masses who very well understand the nuclear deal. BJP will almost loose the MP seats in all major cities too.
BJP can only breath easy for few months by letting UPA win the trust vote now and break the Third front alliance. Left parties may have also cheated BJP showing them the prospect of mid term elections. However, Left was working hard to prevent a mid term election as well as installing Mayawathi government(looks impossible, but may be possible with congress support).
BJP is the biggest loooser in this game. THey have proved to be the dumbest of all parties
UPA has clearly and selectively broke the back of BJP and Left.
Filed under: Blogroll, Finance India, India blogs, Indian Bloggers , BJP, congress, Indo-US deal, indo-us nuclear deal, July 22, july 22 trust vote, july 22nd, july 22nd trust vote, Lala Krishna Advani, Left, left parties, Manmohan singh, nuclear deal, trust vote, UPA