Recent Updates: BJP earlier talked of airlighting ailing MPs like Vajpayee and Dharmendra. It almost looks like BJP gave up that idea so that UPA will emerge victorious in the trust vote along with few defections from its side. This strategy started strengthening when Left and Maya started talking on non-congress and non-BJP third front alliance. It looks like UPA has successfully nuked the opposition and the Left in their own gameplan.
Operation topple UPA without a clear follow up strategy may boomerang on BJP for years to come.
BJP got sucked into Left parties bandwagon with a single agenda of toppling UPA sarkar. While Left had clearly strategised their post UPA downfall step with just minor failure of SP defection, BJP is like fool reacting to the events folding in front of their eyes with no control. BJP blindly believed that there will be mid term elections after UPA sarkar downfall which Left clearly wanted to avoid at any circumstance.
Left was successfull in strengthening non-congress and non-bjp alliance but miserably may fail to bring UPA sarkar down. Even with this failure, they can go home with a comfort of bringing non-congress and non-bjp alliance to life and fight next general elections with the projection of dalit PM.
BJP, will be biggest looser…
1) UPA sarkar failes and Third front forms the government. Congress will be more than happy to extend outside support to Mayawati to douse BJP’s chances further and wait another year enjoying a vacation.
2) UPA sarkar fails and there is no Third front alternative to form the government. In this scenario, Third Front will make substantial gains in Mid term elections becuase of the prospect of a Dalit women PM.
3) UPA sarkar wins the trust vote and there is no mid term election. IN such a scenario Third front will get enough time to strengthen their base and BSP will become a formiddable force to reckon with along with Congress and BJP.
Anyway you look, LK Advani has lead BJP to a miserable failure and the only way he can salvage his party is to encourage defections of few MPS so that UPA sarkar wins the trust vote, while BJP still publicly maintains their negative stance to maintain their credibility.
There is almost 100% chance of UPA win in the july 22nd trust vote.
Jai India
Filed under: Finance India, India blogs, Indian Bloggers , Amar singh, BJP defections, congress, defections, july 22nd trust vote, manmohan, Mayawati, mulayam, Non BJP alliance, non congress alliance, Shiv Sena defections, TDP, Third Front, trust vote
